tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pittsburgh → San Francisco via Minneapolis: arrives on time 42%

  1. 19:28 PIT → 20:53 MSP
    DL 3709 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 25m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:42 MSP → 23:50 SFO
    DL 2089 · Delta · 4h 07m · 61% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Pittsburgh). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip7h 21mPIT 19:28 to SFO 23:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.