tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → New York via Los Angeles: arrives on time 78%

  1. 18:55 SMF → 20:40 LAX
    DL 3712 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 45m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:45 LAX → 07:04 JFK +1 day
    DL 676 · Delta · 5h 19m · 81% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 9h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip9h 09mSMF 18:55 to JFK 07:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.