tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → New York via Los Angeles: arrives on time 77%

  1. 21:05 SMF → 22:51 LAX
    DL 3759 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 46m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:55 LAX → 08:30 JFK +1 day
    DL 915 · Delta · 5h 35m · 86% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 25mSMF 21:05 to JFK 08:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.