tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Medford → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:01 MFR → 07:40 SEA
    DL 3781 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 39m · 98% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 4h 05m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:45 SEA → 14:53 PHX
    DL 2449 · Delta · 3h 08m · 79% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 200 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 05m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip8h 52mMFR 06:01 to PHX 14:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.