tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Medford → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:01 MFR → 07:40 SEA
    DL 3781 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 39m · 98% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 27m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:07 SEA → 14:10 PHX
    AA 3793 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 03m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 117 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 27m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 09mMFR 06:01 to PHX 14:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.