tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Los Angeles via Minneapolis: arrives on time 60%

  1. 18:55 IAD → 20:52 MSP
    DL 3783 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 57m · 80% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:59 MSP → 23:54 LAX
    DL 2103 · Delta · 3h 55m · 75% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip7h 59mIAD 18:55 to LAX 23:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.