tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Portland via Minneapolis: arrives on time 51%

  1. 18:55 IAD → 20:52 MSP
    DL 3783 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 57m · 80% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:38 MSP → 23:18 PDX
    DL 2391 · Delta · 3h 40m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 23mIAD 18:55 to PDX 23:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.