tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Anchorage via Minneapolis: arrives on time 63%

  1. 18:55 IAD → 20:52 MSP
    DL 3783 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 57m · 80% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 21m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:13 MSP → 00:59 ANC +1 day
    DL 411 · Delta · 5h 42m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 4 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip10h 00mIAD 18:55 to ANC 00:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.