tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Indianapolis via Minneapolis: arrives on time 53%

  1. 18:55 IAD → 20:52 MSP
    DL 3783 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 57m · 80% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 MSP → 00:17 IND +1 day
    DL 674 · Delta · 1h 37m · 78% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 22mIAD 18:55 to IND 00:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.