tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Kailua/Kona via Los Angeles: arrives on time 72%

  1. 14:15 SMF → 15:52 LAX
    DL 3812 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:44 LAX → 19:17 KOA
    DL 311 · Delta · 5h 33m · 82% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 02mSMF 14:15 to KOA 19:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.