tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Philadelphia via Minneapolis: arrives on time 70%

  1. 09:40 AUS → 12:38 MSP
    DL 3813 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 58m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 47m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:25 MSP → 18:07 PHL
    DL 2594 · Delta · 2h 42m · 76% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 62 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 47m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 27mAUS 09:40 to PHL 18:07, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.