tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Cleveland via Detroit: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:00 IAD → 07:40 DTW
    DL 3826 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:35 DTW → 09:37 CLE
    DL 5392 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 02m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip3h 37mIAD 06:00 to CLE 09:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.