tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Austin via Detroit: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:00 IAD → 07:40 DTW
    DL 3826 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 24m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:04 DTW → 11:00 AUS
    DL 1218 · Delta · 2h 56m · 85% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 24m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 00mIAD 06:00 to AUS 11:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.