tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Miami via Detroit: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:00 IAD → 07:40 DTW
    DL 3826 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 42m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:22 DTW → 12:30 MIA
    DL 1468 · Delta · 3h 08m · 86% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 57 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 42m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 30mIAD 06:00 to MIA 12:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.