tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Minneapolis via Detroit: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:00 IAD → 07:40 DTW
    DL 3826 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 DTW → 09:55 MSP
    DL 2258 · Delta · 1h 55m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip4h 55mIAD 06:00 to MSP 09:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.