tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Jacksonville via Detroit: arrives on time 67%

  1. 06:00 IAD → 07:40 DTW
    DL 3826 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:29 DTW → 10:49 JAX
    DL 2333 · Delta · 2h 20m · 89% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip4h 49mIAD 06:00 to JAX 10:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.