tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → San Diego via Detroit: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:00 IAD → 07:40 DTW
    DL 3826 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:40 DTW → 10:27 SAN
    DL 492 · Delta · 4h 44m · 83% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 24mIAD 06:00 to SAN 10:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.