tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Harrisburg via Detroit: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:00 IAD → 07:40 DTW
    DL 3826 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:10 DTW → 11:42 MDT
    DL 4065 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 32m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 42mIAD 06:00 to MDT 11:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.