tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Billings → Minneapolis via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 64%

  1. 18:40 BIL → 20:17 SLC
    DL 3828 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 86% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:05 SLC → 00:34 MSP +1 day
    DL 1173 · Delta · 2h 29m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h ahead of Billings). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip4h 54mBIL 18:40 to MSP 00:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.