tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Spokane → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 55%

  1. 09:20 GEG → 10:55 SEA
    DL 3830 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 35m · 82% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:45 SEA → 14:53 PHX
    DL 2449 · Delta · 3h 08m · 79% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 33mGEG 09:20 to PHX 14:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.