tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sioux Falls → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 65%

  1. 05:12 FSD → 06:20 MSP
    DL 3840 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 12m · 85% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 MSP → 11:32 ORD
    DL 1567 · Delta · 1h 31m · 72% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 175 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 19mFSD 05:12 to ORD 11:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.