tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sioux Falls → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 79%

  1. 05:12 FSD → 06:20 MSP
    DL 3840 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 12m · 85% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 27m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:47 MSP → 11:29 ORD
    UA 1929 · United · 1h 42m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 117 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 27m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 17mFSD 05:12 to ORD 11:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.