tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Phoenix via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 88%

  1. 12:45 SBA → 15:52 SLC
    DL 3841 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 07m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 33m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:25 SLC → 18:07 PHX
    DL 1451 · Delta · 1h 42m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 48 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 33m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 22mSBA 12:45 to PHX 18:07, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.