tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Sacramento via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 80%

  1. 12:45 SBA → 15:52 SLC
    DL 3841 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 07m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 43m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:35 SLC → 18:16 SMF
    DL 2585 · Delta · 1h 41m · 84% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 58 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 43m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 31mSBA 12:45 to SMF 18:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.