tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Seattle via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 80%

  1. 12:45 SBA → 15:52 SLC
    DL 3841 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 07m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 28m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 SLC → 18:36 SEA
    DL 871 · Delta · 2h 16m · 82% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 43 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 28m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 51mSBA 12:45 to SEA 18:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.