tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rapid City → Denver via Minneapolis: arrives on time 76%

  1. 16:28 RAP → 19:08 MSP
    DL 3851 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 07m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:15 MSP → 23:32 DEN
    F9 1149 · Frontier · 2h 17m · 80% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 97 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 07m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 04mRAP 16:28 to DEN 23:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.