tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Seattle via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 39%

  1. 16:50 SBA → 19:57 SLC
    DL 3853 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 07m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:44 SLC → 22:05 SEA
    DL 2016 · Delta · 2h 21m · 46% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip5h 15mSBA 16:50 to SEA 22:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.