tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → San Francisco via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 55%

  1. 16:50 SBA → 19:57 SLC
    DL 3853 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 07m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 SLC → 21:59 SFO
    DL 2762 · Delta · 2h 00m · 59% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip5h 09mSBA 16:50 to SFO 21:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.