tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Appleton → Atlanta via Minneapolis: arrives on time 54%

  1. 16:16 ATW → 17:39 MSP
    DL 3861 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 74% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:35 MSP → 22:15 ATL
    DL 1026 · Delta · 2h 40m · 78% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Appleton). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip4h 59mATW 16:16 to ATL 22:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.