tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Appleton → Las Vegas via Minneapolis: arrives on time 57%

  1. 16:16 ATW → 17:39 MSP
    DL 3861 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 74% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:59 MSP → 20:24 LAS
    DL 2246 · Delta · 3h 21m · 69% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Appleton). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 04mATW 16:16 to LAS 20:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.