tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Appleton → Denver via Minneapolis: arrives on time 51%

  1. 16:16 ATW → 17:39 MSP
    DL 3861 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 74% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:45 MSP → 19:56 DEN
    DL 2931 · Delta · 2h 16m · 66% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Appleton). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip4h 45mATW 16:16 to DEN 19:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.