tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → New York via Denver: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:24 AUS → 08:55 DEN
    DL 3876 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 31m · 92% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:10 DEN → 18:25 JFK
    DL 532 · Delta · 4h 18m · 85% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 10h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip10h 04mAUS 07:24 to JFK 18:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.