tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Medford → Los Angeles via Seattle: arrives on time 53%

  1. 12:25 MFR → 14:05 SEA
    DL 3878 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:55 SEA → 17:40 LAX
    DL 2830 · Delta · 2h 45m · 85% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 15mMFR 12:25 to LAX 17:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.