tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Minneapolis via Detroit: arrives on time 52%

  1. 14:20 IND → 15:38 DTW
    DL 3879 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 18m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:25 DTW → 17:20 MSP
    DL 2203 · Delta · 1h 55m · 76% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Indianapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 00mIND 14:20 to MSP 17:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.