tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Minneapolis via Sacramento: arrives on time 94%

  1. 08:47 SEA → 10:50 SMF
    DL 3881 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 03m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 31m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:21 SMF → 18:49 MSP
    DL 1701 · Delta · 3h 28m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 106 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 31m layover.
Arrives on time94%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip8h 02mSEA 08:47 to MSP 18:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.