tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Honolulu via Seattle: arrives on time 73%

  1. 11:34 SMF → 13:45 SEA
    DL 3881 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 14m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:05 SEA → 19:09 HNL
    DL 419 · Delta · 6h 04m · 74% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 10h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 3 h behind Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip10h 35mSMF 11:34 to HNL 19:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.