tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Dulles via Seattle: arrives on time 75%

  1. 11:34 SMF → 13:45 SEA
    DL 3881 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 14m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:20 SEA → 00:25 IAD +1 day
    DL 541 · Delta · 5h 05m · 77% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 9h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip9h 51mSMF 11:34 to IAD 00:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.