tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Nashville via Seattle: arrives on time 80%

  1. 11:34 SMF → 13:45 SEA
    DL 3881 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 14m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 SEA → 23:59 BNA
    DL 815 · Delta · 4h 29m · 82% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 10h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 180 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip10h 25mSMF 11:34 to BNA 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.