tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Omaha → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 45%

  1. 17:54 OMA → 21:00 DTW
    DL 3889 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 06m · 71% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 DTW → 23:41 LGA
    DL 2603 · Delta · 1h 51m · 74% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Omaha). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 47mOMA 17:54 to LGA 23:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.