tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → New York via Los Angeles: arrives on time 83%

  1. 16:02 PHX → 17:34 LAX
    DL 3894 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 32m · 86% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 36m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 LAX → 05:25 JFK +1 day
    DL 960 · Delta · 5h 15m · 86% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 10h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 171 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 36m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip10h 23mPHX 16:02 to JFK 05:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.