tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Dulles via Los Angeles: arrives on time 91%

  1. 16:02 PHX → 17:34 LAX
    DL 3894 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 32m · 86% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 56m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:30 LAX → 05:36 IAD +1 day
    UA 2632 · United · 5h 06m · 94% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 10h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 146 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 56m layover.
Arrives on time91%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip10h 34mPHX 16:02 to IAD 05:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.