tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 57%

  1. 06:00 MEM → 08:13 MSP
    DL 3899 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 13m · 90% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 17m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:30 MSP → 13:09 MDW
    DL 4820 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 39m · 62% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 152 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 17m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip7h 09mMEM 06:00 to MDW 13:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.