tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Atlanta via Minneapolis: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:00 MEM → 08:13 MSP
    DL 3899 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 13m · 90% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 27m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:40 MSP → 14:05 ATL
    DL 1046 · Delta · 2h 25m · 85% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 102 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 27m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 05mMEM 06:00 to ATL 14:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.