tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Orlando via Minneapolis: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:00 MEM → 08:13 MSP
    DL 3899 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 13m · 90% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:27 MSP → 13:40 MCO
    DL 1208 · Delta · 3h 13m · 80% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 40mMEM 06:00 to MCO 13:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.