tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Newark via Minneapolis: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:00 MEM → 08:13 MSP
    DL 3899 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 13m · 90% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:14 MSP → 12:56 EWR
    DL 2895 · Delta · 2h 42m · 81% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 56mMEM 06:00 to EWR 12:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.