tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:00 MEM → 08:13 MSP
    DL 3899 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 13m · 90% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 18m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:31 MSP → 12:16 ORD
    AA 4162 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 45m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 48 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 18m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 16mMEM 06:00 to ORD 12:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.