tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Newark via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:00 MEM → 08:13 MSP
    DL 3899 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 13m · 90% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 01m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:14 MSP → 14:00 EWR
    UA 1637 · United · 2h 46m · 83% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 01m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 00mMEM 06:00 to EWR 14:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.