tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:00 MEM → 08:13 MSP
    DL 3899 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 13m · 90% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 12m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:25 MSP → 11:55 MDW
    WN 4345 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 42 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 12m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 55mMEM 06:00 to MDW 11:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.