tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Seattle via Los Angeles: arrives on time 58%

  1. 15:13 RNO → 16:56 LAX
    DL 3902 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 43m · 84% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 LAX → 20:34 SEA
    DL 2640 · Delta · 2h 49m · 83% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 21mRNO 15:13 to SEA 20:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.