tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Phoenix via Atlanta: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:00 XNA → 09:00 ATL
    DL 3905 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 00m · 96% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 ATL → 12:12 PHX
    DL 796 · Delta · 4h 02m · 81% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 12mXNA 06:00 to PHX 12:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.